I claim that music can be dealt with as random processes. The claim is based on the fact that music consists of time-sequences of musical events, such as notes, chords, dynamics, rhythmic patterns, etc. It is already known that other types of time-sequences, such as stock prices, are quite successfully modeled by random processes. Therefore, I claim that the process of musical composition can be modeled as a realization of an underlying random process, and the underlying random process is what we fuzzily call ``musical styles''. If we further hypothesize that each composer has his/her unique style, then the composer identification problem becomes what is known by engineers as a ``system identification'' problem.
Among the many system identification techniques that already exist, this research explores the Markov chain model due to its simplicity. Due to the simple assumption that the future is conditionally independent to the past given the present, a Markov chain can be characterized by its state-transition probability matrix. However, we have to point out that the assumption is ignorant of macroscopic musical structures, and it is therefore valid to question the validity of Markov modeling of music in general.
Although, in this research, I am awared of the general validity issue, I remain optimistic that Markov models may be sufficiently sophisticated to teach a computer to appreciate music, as far as composer identification is concerned. The rest of the paper is organized as follows. Section 2 describes the general methods. Section 3 documents the experiments that have been done so far. Results are discussed in Section 4, and possible future directions are pointed out in Section 5.